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Top Public Policy Issues Facing Governing Boards in 2025–2026:
Federal and State Funding

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Stay informed on changes to federal and state funding.

Amid the frequently shifting political landscape in the U.S., AGB is frequently updating this report. Jump ahead to the original text, published in March 2025.

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October 1, 2025 Update

Congress failed to pass a short-term continuing resolution to keep the federal government operating past September 30, 2025, the end of the 2025 fiscal year. This has triggered a shutdown of the federal government with implications for higher education institutions and their governing boards. Read the AGB Policy Alert here.

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September 19, 2025 Update

Budget decisions could change the funding landscape for higher education if they are approved. The House Appropriations Subcommittee on Labor, Health and Human Services, Education, and Related Agencies advanced its fiscal year 2026 funding bill by a vote of 11–7. The full Appropriations Committee later marked up the bill, passing it out of committee with a 35–28 vote. At the same time, the U.S. Department of Education announced it will end discretionary funding for several Minority-Serving Institution (MSI) grant programs. This announcement follows the U.S. Department of Justice’s decision not to defend Hispanic-Serving Institutions (HSIs) against a lawsuit challenging the constitutionality of their federal definition. Subsequently, the Education Department announced funding would not flow to the MSI grant programs and would instead be sent to Historically Black Colleges and Universities and Tribally Controlled Colleges and Universities.

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August 15, 2025 Update

The Senate Committee on Appropriations has approved the FY 2026 Labor, Health and Human Services, Education, and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, advancing funding opportunities for education, research, and social services. While final passage of the bill remains pending, the move signals continued investment in National Institutes of Health (NIH), workforce development, and higher education initiatives.

In earlier FY 2025 developments, the Trump Administration briefly froze NIH funding, but Congress pushed back decisively, leading to a rapid unfreezing and reinstatement of funding.

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Institutions brace for federal cuts and state budget shortfalls.

Published March 28, 2025

The financial outlook for colleges and universities over the next two years remains uncertain, influenced by proposed federal spending reductions from the new administration and varying projections for state budgets, where post-pandemic surpluses have diminished. While the future of the U.S. Department of Education is unclear, it is expected that core programs—such as student financial aid and support for disadvantaged and disabled students—would continue, regardless of any administrative changes. However, the student aid budget might face potential reductions.

Before gaining control of both houses of Congress and the White House in the 2024 elections, Republicans sought without success to scale back or eliminate such student aid programs as PLUS loans for graduate students and parents allowing them to borrow at below-market rates, College Work Study subsidies, and Supplemental Educational Opportunity Grants, an add-on to Pell Grants for students with “exceptional” need. The $32 billion Pell Grant program, which provides up to $7,395 a year to 6.5 million students, primarily from lower-income families,1 is facing a shortfall, and it is unlikely this Congress will appropriate more funds.2

A key priority for the new administration is to extend and expand the tax provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which are set to expire at the end of fiscal year 2025. Additional priorities include increased funding for border security, immigration and deportation enforcement, energy production, and potentially national defense. These initiatives might contribute to a higher federal deficit, prompting Republican lawmakers to consider spending reductions and potential revenue measures to offset the impact. As a result, there might be increased pressure on federal discretionary spending.

That concern is unlikely to resonate with fiscal conservatives focused on reducing government spending. “We have to continue sounding the alarm for the American people that this country and their government are on a completely unsustainable fiscal path,” House Budget Committee Chairman Jodey Arrington (R-TX) said shortly after the president’s inauguration.3 True to his word, Arrington’s Budget Committee approved a resolution calling for at least $1.5 trillion in cuts from the remainder of fiscal year 2025 through 2034. The full House approved the blueprint in February. It did not pinpoint the cuts, but among the prime targets are Medicaid and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), formerly called food stamps. Additional significant cuts likely will be sought in the federal student loan program as part of instructions to the House Education and Workforce Committee to cut a minimum of $330 billion from programs under its jurisdiction. Departing from the House’s approach of passing a single massive budget reconciliation, Senate leaders anticipated two separate budget reconciliation bills in 2025. The first, passed in January, dealt largely with the southern border, immigration, and defense spending. It did, however, call for unspecified education spending cuts of $1 billion. The Senate will take up the massive House budget reconciliation when it writes its second budget reconciliation bill later this spring.

Before these debates, Congress averted a government shutdown by passing a bill to fund the government through September 30, 2025, the end of the fiscal year, at near fiscal year 2024 spending levels. However, it was uncertain whether appropriated monies for education and research will in fact be spent, given the repeated actions by the White House to freeze current-year funding.

Impacts on Research

Updates

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August 27, 2025 Update

The White House also issued a new Executive Order on federal grantmaking that could reshape research funding strategies nationwide. The order directs agencies to prioritize institutions with lower indirect cost rates when awarding discretionary grants, provided that all other criteria are equal. This seemingly technical change could have major implications for research-intensive institutions that rely on indirect cost recovery to sustain labs, facilities, and compliance infrastructure.

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July 16, 2025 Update

On June 17, a federal court enjoined the U.S. Department of Defense from implementing a controversial 15 percent cap on indirect costs for research funding to colleges and universities. The injunction preserves the current funding model, which allows institutions to recover a broader range of administrative and facilities costs.

While this is a temporary victory for research-intensive institutions, continued litigation is likely. Boards should remain alert to possible federal reforms that could reemerge in future budget proposals and understand their institution’s dependency on indirect cost recovery.

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Published March 28, 2025

Still uncertain at this writing is the full scope of what will happen to federal support for the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the National Science Foundation (NSF), the Department of Energy, and other agencies that fund more than half of the $109 billion recently spent on medical and scientific research on campuses.4 Already the NIH announced it would reduce to 15 percent the amount of indirect costs that colleges and universities can take in addition to the amount of the grant. NIH said the move, instituted almost immediately, would save $4 billion a year. Indirect costs, called facilities and administrative (F&A) costs, have always been a bone of contention for cost-cutting lawmakers. Some universities’ indirect cost rates are far higher than 15 percent, including 56 percent at the University of Michigan.5
Matt Owens, a member of the advisory group to AGB’s Top Public Policy Issues report and president of the Council on Government Relations, an association of academic medical centers and research institutes, told the Washington Post, “This is a surefire way to cripple lifesaving research and innovation.”6

Barbara R. Snyder, president of the American Association of Universities, said indirect costs (for labs, utilities, and other expenses) are “real and necessary costs of conducting the groundbreaking research that has led to countless breakthroughs in the past decades. A cut to F&A reimbursements for NIH grants is quite simply a cut to the life-saving medical research that helps countless American families.”7

Ted Mitchell, president of the American Council on Education, called the move “short-sighted, naive, and dangerous. It will be celebrated wildly by our competitors, who will see this for what it is—a surrender of U.S. supremacy in medical research. It is a self-inflicted wound that, if not reversed, will have dire consequences on U.S. jobs, global competitiveness, and the future growth of a skilled workforce.”8

Research institutions have been here before. Congress did not adopt the president’s 2017 proposal to reduce the budgets of the NIH and the Department of Education by nearly 20 percent. Instead, lawmakers continued to increase funding for these agencies. At the time, there was broader bipartisan support in Congress for research and education spending. In the current environment, however, proposals aimed at restructuring federal departments and reducing personnel have gained traction. As part of a broader push for efficiency, the NIH may face consolidation, potentially merging or eliminating some of its 27 institutes and centers, many of which focus on specific medical areas such as cancer, cardiovascular health, or infectious diseases. While the extent of potential research budget reductions remains unclear, some universities and teaching hospitals—including Harvard University, Stanford University, and the University of Pittsburgh—have responded to the uncertainty by implementing faculty and staff hiring freezes.9

With Robert Kennedy Jr. appointed as Secretary of Health and Human Services, some in the medical, scientific, and pharmaceutical communities expressed concern about the future of drug and vaccine research and development. A federal judge issued a temporary restraining order lifting a funding freeze, but by mid-March only monies for already-funded clinical trials had been released. Advisory councils that determine the last step in approvals for new grants have been unable to meet because of a travel freeze, delaying at best, new awards. At worst, freezes might mean the de facto cancellation of such advisory councils. A mid-March meeting of advisers to the Food and Drug Administration to determine the components of the vaccine for the 2025–2026 flu season was put off. Current and pending grants aimed at increasing diversity, equity, and inclusion have been cancelled.10 Efforts to dismiss 1,200 NIH probationary employees, along with a hiring freeze affecting early-career research scientists and the departure of senior scientists from the NIH’s intramural research labs, created significant disruption and uncertainty within the agency.11

Even if funding is restored and staffing reductions are paused by the courts, universities and researchers may have questions about whether the NIH and NSF—both facing administrative challenges and staffing changes—will have the capacity to effectively manage federal research grant programs.

While the free exchange of scientific information has been a cornerstone of research at U.S. universities, the federal government has become increasingly concerned in recent years about potential vulnerabilities in the research system, particularly in relation to countries such as China. “U.S. officials and others have raised concerns about various efforts of foreign governments—most notably the People’s Republic of China—to influence and exploit the openness of the U.S. research ecosystem. The acquisition of U.S. advances in science and technology, intellectual property, and talent by strategic competitors may pose a risk to U.S. national defense and global economic competitiveness,” a Congressional Research Service report said in 2024. U.S. universities, meanwhile, have expressed concerns about the administrative burden of certain recordkeeping and regulatory requirements introduced to address national security considerations. Both President Trump in his first term, and President Biden took steps to reduce the risks, including requiring applicants for federal funding to disclose any foreign support for their research.12 All foreign gifts and contracts, including research contracts, must be reported annually to the Department of Education under Section 117 of the Higher Education Act, and this information is publicly available.13 But research institutions have raised concerns about the administrative complexity involved in compliance efforts, though only a small percentage involve Chinese scholars or others from countries with strained U.S. relations.

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Published March 28, 2025

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Questions for Boards

  • Looking to the immediate future, what does the board foresee regarding the financial health of the institution/system? How might reductions in government funding affect key operations of the institution(s)?
  • How often does the board debate and discuss the affordability of our institution, or system institutions? Has the cost(s) of attendance been stable recently, increased, or decreased?
  • How would possible reductions in federal student aid impact our institution or system? Do the board have a clear sense of levels of student debt?
  • If our institution, or institutions of the system, have substantial research programs, how are they being affected by federal funding freezes, projected reductions in the NIH indirect costs, and changes to federal agency staff capacity?
  • If our state has a free college program, has it made college more affordable than it was before its enactment? Has it changed the composition of our student body?
  • Has the board considered the financial implications for a reduction in international students?
  • If we are an affiliated foundation, what are the implications of institutional budget gaps? Does our foundation have a sustainable business model if institutional support is decreased? Does our foundation have the capacity to help our institution address urgent financial challenges while fulfilling our fiduciary obligation to sustain the long-term value of the endowment?

1. Cassandria Dortch, “Federal Pell Grant Program of the Higher Education Act: Primer,” Congressional Research Service, November 6, 2024, https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/r/r45418.

2. “Pell Grant Shortfall Remains a Threat,” Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, July 12, 2024, https://www.crfb.org/blogs/pell-grant-shortfall-remains-threat.

3. “Chairman Arrington Delivers Opening Remarks at Meeting to Lay Groundwork for Budget Committee Priorities,” House Budget Committee, January 23, 2025, https://budget.house.gov/press-release/chairman-arrington-delivers-opening-remarks-at-meeting-to-lay-groundwork-for-budget-committee-priorities.

4. “Higher Education R&D Expenditures Increased 11.2%, Exceeded $108 Billion in FY 2023,” National Science Foundation, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics, https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf25313#.

5. Don Jordan, “Update on NIH indirect cost rate cap,” University of Michigan Research, February 8, 2025, https://research.umich.edu/update-on-nih-indirect-cost-rate-cap/.

6. Dan Diamond, Carolyn Y. Johnson, and Lena H. Sun, “NIH cuts billions of dollars in biomedical funding, effective immediately,” Washington Post, February 8, 2025, https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/02/08/nih-cuts-billions-dollars-biomedical-funding-effective-immediately/.

7. Barbara R. Snyder, “Statement of AAU President Barbara R. Snyder on Cuts to NIH Facilities and Administrative (F&A) Research Costs,” Association of American Universities, February 7, 2025, https://www.aau.edu/newsroom/press-releases/statement-aau-president-barbara-r-snyder-cuts-nih-facilities-administrative-costs.

8. Ted Mitchell, “Statement by ACE President Ted Mitchell on Trump Administration Move to Slash Research Indirect Cost Rate,” American Council on Education, February 7, 2025, https://www.acenet.edu/News-Room/Pages/Statement-Trump-to-Slash-Research-Reimbursement.aspx.

9. Alan M. Garber, John F. Manning, Meredith Weenick, and Ritu Kalra, “Financial Stewardship,” Harvard University, March 10, 2025, https://www.harvard.edu/president/news/2025/financial-stewardship/.

10. Carolyn Y. Johnson and Joel Achenbach, “NIH reels with fear, uncertainty about future scientific research,” Washington Post, March 5, 2025, https://www.washingtonpost.com/science/2025/03/05/nih-trump-turmoil-grants/.

11. Johnson and Achenbach, “NIH reels with fear, uncertainty about future scientific research.”

12. Emily G. Blevins and Marcy E. Gallo, “Research Security Policies: An Overview,” Congressional Research Service, December 4, 2024, https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF12589.

13. “Section 117 Foreign Gift and Contract Data,” Federal Student Aid, U.S. Department of Education, https://fsapartners.ed.gov/knowledge-center/topics/section-117-foreign-gift-and-contract-reporting/section-117-foreign-gift-and-contract-data.

14. “U.S. Higher Education Endowments Report 6.8% 10-Year Average Annual Return, Increase Spending to a Collective $30 Billion,” National Association of College and University Business Officers, February 12, 2025, https://www.nacubo.org/Press-Releases/2025/US-Higher-Education-Endowments-Report-10-Year-Average-Annual-Return.

15. “Annual Grapevine Data show initial 10.2% increase in state support for higher education,” State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, February 1, 2024, https://sheeo.org/grapevine-fy24/.

16. “State Priorities for Higher Education in 2025,” State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, January 2025, https://sheeo.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Policy-Issue-Survey.2025.pdf.

17. “State Priorities for Higher Education.”

18. “The Fiscal Survey of States: Fall 2024,” National Association of State Budget Officers, December 18, 2024, https://www.nasbo.org/reports-data/fiscal-survey-of-states.

19. Ellie Wolfe, “University System of Maryland Faces $111 million cut in Gov. Moore’s budget,” Baltimore Banner, January 16, 2025, https://www.thebaltimorebanner.com/education/higher-education/maryland-college-budget-cuts-5PWJ2TSRTNAKLBTE5IZFDN5L6Q/.

20. “Cal State system braces for possible cuts in classes, sports due to budget problems and enrollment decline,” EdSource, January 28, 2025, https://edsource.org/2025/csu-braces-for-possible-cuts-in-classes-sports-and-services-due-to-budget-problems-and-enrollment-drops/725712.

21. “State Priorities for Higher Education.”

22. Ian Lenahan, “UNH Faces $15M to $20M in budget cuts. Tuition Hike coming, too.,” Seacoast/Portsmouth Herald, February 6, 2025, https://www.seacoastonline.com/story/news/local/2025/02/06/unh-budget-cuts-tuition-hike/78289525007/.

23. Courtney Tanner, “Utah lawmakers move forward with higher education bill despite faculty opposition.” Salt Lake Tribune, February 20, 2025, https://www.sltrib.com/news/education/2025/02/20/utah-faculty-oppose-hb265-bill/.

24. Pearson Brown, “SHEF: FY 2022 Issue Brief: Analyzing Lottery Proceeds as an Aspect of State Lottery Support for Higher Education,” State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, 2023, https://shef.sheeo.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/SHEF-Lottery-Funding_FY22.pdf.

25. Susanna Vogel, “Federal Medicaid cuts could shift $44.3B in costs to expansion states,” HealthCareDive, February 27, 2025, https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/federal-medicaid-cuts-shift-costs-expansion-states/740966/.

26. Elizabeth Williams, Alice Burns, Rhiannon Euhus, and Robin Rudowitz, “Eliminating the Medicaid Expansion Federal Match Rate: State-by-State Estimates,” Kaiser Family Foundation, February 13, 2025, https://www.kff.org/medicaid/issue-brief/eliminating-the-medicaid-expansion-federal-match-rate-state-by-state-estimates/.

27. “Current Term Enrollment Estimates: Fall 2024,” National Student Clearinghouse Research Center, January 23, 2025, https://nscresearchcenter.org/current-term-enrollment-estimates.

28. “Deteriorating Outlook to Intensify for U.S. Colleges in 2025,” Fitch Ratings, December 4, 2024, https://www.fitchratings.com/research/us-public-finance/deteriorating-outlook-to-intensify-for-us-colleges-in-2025-03-12-2024.

29. “Deteriorating Outlook.”

30. “A State-Led Strategy to Enhance the Value of Degrees: The Findings of the NCSL Task Force on Higher Education,” National Conference of State Legislatures, October 2024, https://www.ncsl.org/education/a-state-led-strategy-to-enhance-the-value-of-degrees-the-findings-of-the-ncsl-task-force-on-higher-education.

31. “Annual NACUBO Tuition Discounting Study Finds Financial Aid Awards and Undergraduate Enrollment on the Rise at Private Colleges and Universities,” National Association of College and University Business Officers, May 14, 2024, https://www.nacubo.org/Press-Releases/2024/Annual-NACUBO-Tuition-Discounting-Study-Finds-Financial-Aid-Awards-on-the-Rise.

32. “Trends in College Pricing and Student Aid 2024,” College Board, October 2024, https://research.collegeboard.org/media/pdf/Trends-in-College-Pricing-and-Student-Aid-2024-ADA.pdf.

33. “Trends in College Pricing and Student Aid 2024.”

34. Melanie Hanson, “Student Loan Debt Statistics,” Education Data Initiative, Last Updated March 16, 2025, https://educationdata.org/student-loan-debt-statistics.

35. Melanie Hanson, “Student Loan Forgiveness Statistics,” Education Data Initiative, Last Updated August 28, 2024, https://educationdata.org/student-loan-forgiveness-statistics.

36. “Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Restores Public Service Loan Forgiveness,” White House, March 7, 2025, https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/03/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-restores-public-service-loan-forgiveness/.

37. Sara Chernikoff, “Map: Michigan Joins List of states that offer tuition-free community college,” USA Today, July 27, 2024, https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/education/2024/07/27/states-with-free-community-college/74536008007/.

38. “A Stronger Nation,” Lumina Foundation, https://www.luminafoundation.org/stronger-nation/report2025/#/progress.

39. Nadia Ramlagan, “WV’s free community college helps more residents attain degrees,” Public News Service, February 7, 2025, https://www.publicnewsservice.org/2025-02-07/education/wvs-free-community-college-helps-more-residents-attain-degrees/a95094-1.

40. Liam Knox, “New York Governor Proposes Free Community College,” Inside Higher Ed, January 16, 2025, https://www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-takes/2025/01/16/new-york-governor-proposes-free-community-college-initiative.

41. Christopher Lau, “The Effect of Tuition-Free Community College,” Federal Trade Commission Working Paper No. 347, September 2020, https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/documents/reports/effect-tuition-free-community-college/working_paper_347.pdf.

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